Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -9.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +13 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | RICH -7.2 (+5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.4 (-4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -6.1 (+6.9) | 150.0 (-1.0) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -6.4 (+6.6) | 149.5 (-0.5) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -6.1 (+6.9) | 149.9 (-0.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -6.5 (+6.5) | 151.5 (-2.5) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2020 | HOF 76 – 71 RICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 13-5 |
| Home | 11-4 | 12-2 |
| Away | 7-5 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 74.4 |
| Massey | 6.1 (#79) | 6.5 (#71) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.74 (#124) | 0.52 (#149) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.80 (#90) | 1.04 (#129) |
| RPI | 0.607 (#58) | 0.638 (#39) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 39.4% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.73 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 12.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.1% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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