Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -12.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Under |
| Money | RICH -900 HOF +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +5 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | RICH -11.6 (-16.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.5 (-2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -8.0 (-13.0) | 150.0 (-3.0) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -11.6 (-16.6) | 148.8 (-1.8) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -11.9 (-16.9) | 149.5 (-2.5) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -11.5 (-16.5) | 152.6 (-5.6) | 80% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 23, 2021 | RICH 81 – 68 HOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-9 | 13-10 |
| Conference | 6-5 | 8-6 |
| Home | 6-4 | 7-3 |
| Away | 5-3 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 73.0 |
| Massey | 6.8 (#74) | -0.4 (#160) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.60 (#23) | -0.20 (#176) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.67 (#33) | -0.65 (#190) |
| RPI | 0.617 (#42) | 0.555 (#90) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.4% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 29.1% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.4 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 19.8% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 28.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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