Betting Lines
| Spread | DEL -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | APP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +7 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | DEL -1.5 (-5.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.3 (-6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEL -0.7 (-6.3) | 138.7 (+4.3) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -1.1 (-5.9) | 142.8 (+0.2) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -1.6 (-5.4) | 144.3 (-1.3) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -1.3 (-5.7) | 140.1 (+2.9) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | APP | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 6-7 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.3 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.3 | 68.6 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#255) | -2.4 (#222) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.36 (#200) | 0.58 (#141) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.10 (#177) | 0.69 (#153) |
| RPI | 0.557 (#109) | 0.527 (#141) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | APP | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 28.9% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 16.6% | 36.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 56.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 79.8% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.8% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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