Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Under |
| Money | CLE -1450 COPP +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +3 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | CLE -14.9 (-11.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.2 (-4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -9.9 (-6.9) | 136.2 (-9.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -9.0 (-6.0) | 135.4 (-8.4) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -9.9 (-6.9) | 134.6 (-7.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -9.5 (-6.5) | 135.4 (-8.4) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-11 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 15-6 | 6-8 |
| Home | 15-3 | 3-6 |
| Away | 5-7 | 4-16 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 74.7 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#189) | -8.4 (#314) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.28 (#270) | -1.70 (#303) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.93 (#271) | -2.67 (#308) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#177) | 0.440 (#244) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 33.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 27.3% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 7.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 40.6% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 22.8% | 17.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 23.1% |
| DRB% | 63.9% | 64.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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