Betting Lines
| Spread | NU -8.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | NU -420 UGA +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NU +16 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | NU -9.9 (+6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.9 (-7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NU -6.5 (+9.5) | 137.6 (+2.4) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NU -6.3 (+9.7) | 142.8 (-2.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NU -6.6 (+9.4) | 142.9 (-2.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NU -6.4 (+9.6) | 142.0 (-2.0) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NU | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 6-26 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 1-17 |
| Home | 10-6 | 6-13 |
| Away | 3-8 | 0-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L12 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 78.5 |
| Massey | 10.0 (#37) | 0.1 (#164) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.85 (#112) | -0.18 (#193) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.25 (#118) | 0.37 (#164) |
| RPI | 0.474 (#213) | 0.547 (#121) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NU | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.4% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 38.9% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 2.33 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.9% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 12.9% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.3% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.2% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 13.3% |
Game Analysis
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