Now she's with one of my good-time buddies, they're drinking in some crosstown bar. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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46–20 on winners spread MAE 10.4 66 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Mississippi Valley State @ Florida State +24.9 159.3 91% 49–96 ✓
La Salle @ High Point +14.8 141.7 86% 72–84 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Akron +16.8 152.6 88% 72–93 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Drexel +6.7 138.9 66% 67–75 ✓
Norfolk State @ Jackson State -7.9 133.9 22% 82–72 ✓
Tulsa @ Western Kentucky -1.8 156.8 47% 82–81 ✓
Florida A&M @ Tarleton State +12.3 148.2 89% 54–78 ✓
Wisconsin @ Villanova +4.5 147.9 57% 66–76 ✓
Alcorn State @ Baylor +27.1 157.2 91% 56–113 ✓
SE Louisiana @ LSU +21.1 142.6 90% 65–78 ✓
Belmont @ UC Irvine +0.9 140.4 46% 84–58 ✗
Abilene Christian @ BYU +25.3 141.2 91% 67–85 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Saint Mary's +12.8 144.6 86% 75–88 ✓
San Diego @ UC San Diego +20.6 150.1 90% 82–80 ✗
North Alabama @ Loyola Marymount +7.5 135.4 76% 57–91 ✓
Cal Poly @ UCLA +19.6 152.1 89% 87–108 ✓
Morgan State @ California +23.7 147.9 91% 50–97 ✓
Washington @ Seattle U -1.9 143.0 36% 66–70 ✗
Oakland @ Michigan State +19.6 151.0 89% 70–79 ✓
Montana @ Louisville +23.6 162.2 91% 54–94 ✓
South Dakota @ Kansas State +19.6 161.8 89% 76–106 ✓
St. John's @ Kentucky +2.6 153.0 64% 66–78 ✓
Liberty @ Dayton +8.8 143.7 82% 64–61 ✗
South Carolina Upstate @ Youngstown State +8.3 143.0 80% 65–74 ✓
Chicago State @ Indiana +27.4 151.0 91% 58–78 ✓
Le Moyne @ St. Bonaventure +17.3 147.5 89% 81–92 ✓
Buffalo @ Western Michigan -1.6 144.6 57% 88–71 ✓
Robert Morris @ Saint Francis -13.3 144.9 14% 79–70 ✓
Georgia State @ App State +9.9 136.7 83% 70–63 ✗
Colorado State @ Utah State +6.5 141.0 78% 58–100 ✓
Howard @ UNC Wilmington +15.8 135.0 89% 67–66 ✗
Longwood @ North Carolina Central -1.0 138.3 35% 74–72 ✓
Lafayette @ Georgia Tech +13.6 143.3 87% 81–95 ✓
Iona @ Vermont +2.2 152.5 67% 83–78 ✗
Binghamton @ Mercyhurst +10.1 129.3 85% 61–82 ✓
Elon @ Virginia Tech +10.4 157.7 85% 81–82 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Ball State -11.7 140.1 15% 86–77 ✓
Kent State @ Massachusetts +2.2 157.0 55% 69–59 ✗
Holy Cross @ Harvard +6.6 132.3 73% 53–81 ✓
Marshall @ Troy +2.3 157.8 66% 63–70 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Old Dominion +3.9 143.6 71% 76–74 ✗
Denver @ Northern Colorado +12.7 159.9 88% 86–79 ✗
Central Michigan @ Northern Illinois +3.3 141.4 61% 73–74 ✓
Louisiana @ UL Monroe +1.3 138.5 57% 76–62 ✗
North Carolina @ Ohio State +0.9 148.9 55% 71–70 ✗
South Alabama @ Texas State -1.8 139.9 43% 65–67 ✗
Memphis @ Mississippi State +3.9 154.3 66% 66–71 ✓
Jacksonville State @ East Tennessee State +12.6 135.1 85% 81–75 ✗
Grand Canyon @ Wyoming +7.0 139.4 80% 82–70 ✗
Northwestern @ Butler +4.4 157.1 70% 58–61 ✓
Northeastern @ Syracuse +11.4 137.2 85% 83–91 ✓
Bowling Green @ Ohio -3.2 145.6 41% 68–58 ✓
UT Martin @ Tennessee Tech +2.0 140.9 61% 86–62 ✗
Arkansas State @ Southern Miss -0.0 147.2 51% 93–86 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Tennessee State +2.8 144.6 64% 91–82 ✗
Morehead State @ Southern Indiana +0.5 144.3 48% 64–60 ✗
Florida Gulf Coast @ UCF +16.9 158.8 88% 80–102 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Santa Clara +16.1 146.4 89% 80–78 ✗
Mercer @ Washington State +3.8 143.3 68% 78–84 ✓
Long Island University @ Florida International +4.7 153.0 72% 79–86 ✓
James Madison @ Georgia Southern +2.7 152.1 62% 92–96 ✓
Houston @ Arkansas +2.1 143.7 51% 94–85 ✗
Maryland @ Virginia +15.0 153.3 88% 72–80 ✓
The Citadel @ Richmond +18.8 149.1 90% 56–80 ✓
Bucknell @ Iowa +24.4 127.7 90% 39–94 ✓
Auburn @ Purdue +8.6 150.2 81% 60–88 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.