Betting Lines
| Spread | FIU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Over |
| Money | FIU -270 LIU +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FIU +7 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | FIU -5.8 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.0 (+1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FIU -4.7 (+2.3) | 153.0 (+12.0) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FIU -4.8 (+2.2) | 151.4 (+13.6) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FIU -4.6 (+2.4) | 154.3 (+10.7) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FIU -4.8 (+2.2) | 153.1 (+11.9) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 2, 2023 | FIU 74 – 59 LIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FIU | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 15-3 |
| Home | 12-6 | 14-1 |
| Away | 3-10 | 10-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#184) | -2.6 (#202) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#205) | -0.02 (#176) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#198) | -0.09 (#174) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#142) | 0.502 (#167) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FIU | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 48.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 59.4% | 62.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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