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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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49–14 on winners spread MAE 10.3 63 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Fresno State @ UNLV +3.5 149.6 72% 72–84 ✓
Omaha @ Lamar +4.0 137.5 67% 85–82 ✗
Eastern Washington @ Utah +12.6 156.2 85% 77–101 ✓
Portland State @ Tulane +1.7 142.2 70% 61–63 ✓
UC Riverside @ St. Thomas-Minnesota +9.9 145.1 83% 78–92 ✓
Sacramento State @ California Baptist +13.3 144.0 88% 67–74 ✓
Stanford @ Colorado +3.6 154.0 54% 77–68 ✗
Pennsylvania @ Rutgers +8.1 145.2 80% 69–70 ✓
Texas Tech @ Duke +11.2 150.7 81% 82–81 ✗
Xavier @ Georgetown +3.6 147.2 70% 80–77 ✗
Marquette @ Creighton +11.3 150.3 85% 63–84 ✓
San José State @ New Mexico +15.0 145.3 88% 65–88 ✓
Rice @ Pepperdine +0.9 138.1 53% 62–84 ✓
Utah Tech @ Weber State +6.6 149.8 75% 82–80 ✗
Boise State @ Nevada -1.4 141.7 44% 66–81 ✗
San Diego State @ Arizona +13.3 158.0 86% 45–68 ✓
Colgate @ Florida +22.7 150.0 90% 60–90 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Boston University +3.6 143.0 63% 76–88 ✓
Charleston @ Northern Kentucky +4.0 145.9 69% 85–74 ✗
Pittsburgh @ Penn State +1.0 140.8 55% 80–46 ✗
Vanderbilt @ Wake Forest -0.1 159.7 51% 98–67 ✓
Lehigh @ Monmouth +6.3 143.2 76% 62–76 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Hofstra +5.8 149.2 71% 66–74 ✓
Southern @ Baylor +24.5 163.0 90% 67–111 ✓
Ole Miss @ NC State +8.3 145.6 77% 62–76 ✓
Stony Brook @ Marist +5.6 136.7 72% 51–70 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Alabama +17.5 170.7 89% 81–92 ✓
Murray State @ Valparaiso -6.3 155.7 27% 85–79 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Bradley +5.8 154.5 78% 69–73 ✓
Presbyterian @ Manhattan -1.6 135.1 47% 81–87 ✗
Charleston Southern @ Furman +8.7 151.6 76% 76–84 ✓
UIC @ Charlotte +3.1 132.4 53% 76–88 ✓
Maine @ Drexel +7.4 128.1 69% 56–74 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ George Mason +23.6 143.2 90% 79–86 ✓
Central Arkansas @ SMU +21.6 150.5 89% 82–99 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Notre Dame +16.0 145.5 88% 72–69 ✗
Cal State Fullerton @ Oklahoma State +17.9 163.5 90% 89–94 ✓
VMI @ Radford +9.4 154.0 82% 90–97 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Tennessee +27.9 148.5 91% 52–94 ✓
Cornell @ UAlbany -6.9 161.6 33% 83–75 ✓
Chattanooga @ Alabama A&M +3.1 138.3 56% 73–66 ✗
UNC Asheville @ UAB +11.0 143.6 85% 47–72 ✓
UMBC @ South Florida +15.8 150.9 89% 69–94 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Incarnate Word +6.1 132.7 72% 66–90 ✓
Oregon State @ Arizona State +10.9 147.3 86% 78–75 ✗
New Hampshire @ Saint Louis +24.6 148.2 91% 79–93 ✓
Cincinnati @ Clemson +10.9 137.8 82% 65–68 ✓
La Salle @ Michigan +25.9 145.3 91% 50–102 ✓
Drake @ Evansville -6.7 143.7 25% 66–65 ✓
East Texas A&M @ Texas A&M +22.3 154.4 90% 77–118 ✓
Florida A&M @ TCU +25.7 140.2 91% 56–80 ✓
North Florida @ Miami +25.1 160.9 91% 67–105 ✓
Sam Houston @ New Mexico State -0.7 145.8 55% 78–87 ✗
UConn @ DePaul -11.8 136.4 17% 72–54 ✓
Indiana State @ Illinois State +15.0 150.7 88% 65–85 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Wichita State +13.5 144.2 86% 57–88 ✓
Milwaukee @ Cleveland State -5.0 153.1 41% 81–71 ✓
Columbia @ California +8.9 143.9 77% 56–74 ✓
Long Beach State @ Iowa State +27.2 152.8 91% 60–91 ✓
Gonzaga @ Oregon -9.1 150.9 20% 91–82 ✓
Campbell @ Minnesota +12.8 142.9 87% 50–78 ✓
UC Davis @ Idaho State +9.2 141.6 82% 93–83 ✗
Morgan State @ San Francisco +22.3 142.4 90% 64–94 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.