Betting Lines
| Spread | ILST -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | ILST -950 INST +625 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ILST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ILST +20 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | ILST -17.2 (+2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.4 (+1.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ILST -17.0 (+3.0) | 147.5 (+2.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ILST -15.0 (+5.0) | 150.7 (-0.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ILST -14.1 (+5.9) | 144.7 (+5.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ILST -15.1 (+4.9) | 146.7 (+3.3) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2026 | INST 94 – 89 ILST |
| Feb 15, 2025 | INST 85 – 76 ILST |
| Jan 22, 2025 | ILST 85 – 81 INST |
| Feb 14, 2024 | ILST 80 – 67 INST |
| Feb 18, 2023 | INST 80 – 64 ILST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ILST | INST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 4-16 |
| Home | 14-2 | 8-7 |
| Away | 7-7 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 75.1 |
| Massey | 9.2 (#69) | -3.7 (#217) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.34 (#85) | -0.70 (#237) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.61 (#90) | -1.26 (#247) |
| RPI | 0.557 (#88) | 0.450 (#265) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ILST | INST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 28.8% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 17.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.