Betting Lines
| Spread | IDST -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | IDST -230 UCD +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCD +10 | 176 | Lost |
| Massey | IDST -11.2 (-21.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.4 (+34.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IDST -10.5 (-20.5) | 141.2 (+34.8) | 83% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IDST -9.2 (-19.2) | 141.6 (+34.4) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IDST -9.1 (-19.1) | 139.3 (+36.7) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IDST -11.3 (-21.3) | 141.3 (+34.7) | 84% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 28, 2020 | UCD 70 – 61 IDST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDST | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 11-9 |
| Home | 8-6 | 12-4 |
| Away | 3-12 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 76.0 |
| Massey | 5.5 (#100) | -1.6 (#188) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.61 (#131) | 0.36 (#144) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.05 (#115) | 0.88 (#120) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#115) | 0.534 (#117) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDST | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 28.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 64.5% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.