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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
15–3 on winners
spread MAE 7.1
18 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UC Irvine
@
North Dakota State
|
+3.9 | 141.2 | 68% | 74–73 | ✗ |
Nicholls
@
Pacific
|
+7.8 | 134.2 | 79% | 82–95 | ✓ |
Idaho
@
Cal Poly
|
+2.0 | 153.3 | 59% | 83–80 | ✗ |
North Dakota
@
Nebraska
|
+26.1 | 149.5 | 91% | 55–78 | ✓ |
Norfolk State
@
UTEP
|
+3.2 | 130.4 | 55% | 72–71 | ✗ |
New Haven
@
Fordham
|
+9.9 | 126.9 | 80% | 47–65 | ✓ |
West Georgia
@
Georgia
|
+28.4 | 165.6 | 91% | 74–103 | ✓ |
Sacred Heart
@
Towson
|
+9.9 | 144.8 | 81% | 47–72 | ✓ |
NJIT
@
Butler
|
+24.2 | 151.2 | 91% | 52–101 | ✓ |
Denver
@
Tulsa
|
+16.8 | 157.8 | 90% | 85–90 | ✓ |
Seattle U
@
UTSA
|
-6.8 | 138.8 | 21% | 71–68 | ✓ |
South Carolina State
@
South Carolina
|
+21.9 | 146.1 | 91% | 70–95 | ✓ |
SIU Edwardsville
@
Western Illinois
|
-5.4 | 138.0 | 28% | 66–61 | ✓ |
Abilene Christian
@
Texas Southern
|
-7.3 | 138.4 | 20% | 75–68 | ✓ |
Portland
@
UC Santa Barbara
|
+8.5 | 146.2 | 81% | 61–79 | ✓ |
American University
@
Virginia
|
+21.3 | 150.1 | 90% | 51–95 | ✓ |
Siena
@
Indiana
|
+21.1 | 135.5 | 89% | 60–81 | ✓ |
Coppin State
@
Georgetown
|
+25.1 | 149.6 | 91% | 67–97 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.