Betting Lines
| Spread | UTEP -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | UTEP -470 NORF +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NORF +1 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | UTEP -5.3 (-6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.8 (+16.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTEP -3.2 (-4.2) | 130.4 (+12.6) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTEP -2.4 (-3.4) | 129.1 (+13.9) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTEP -3.2 (-4.2) | 129.4 (+13.6) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTEP -3.2 (-4.2) | 131.8 (+11.2) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2023 | UTEP 67 – 65 NORF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTEP | NORF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 8-6 |
| Home | 9-7 | 9-4 |
| Away | 2-11 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.4 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 74.7 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#218) | -4.8 (#243) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.30 (#333) | -1.60 (#299) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.98 (#327) | -2.07 (#291) |
| RPI | 0.473 (#228) | 0.430 (#296) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTEP | NORF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.5% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 28.0 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.1% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 15.9% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 62.9% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.1% | 30.2% |
Game Analysis
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