← All models
Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
35–4 on winners
spread MAE 10.3
39 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-3.9 | 135.4 | 34% | 66–76 | ✗ |
|
|
+25.4 | 156.0 | 91% | 90–104 | ✓ |
|
|
+7.7 | 139.3 | 79% | 61–65 | ✓ |
|
|
+7.0 | 137.9 | 75% | 64–70 | ✓ |
|
|
+16.0 | 148.4 | 88% | 63–87 | ✓ |
|
|
+6.1 | 140.7 | 79% | 68–62 | ✗ |
|
|
+14.8 | 144.6 | 88% | 47–93 | ✓ |
|
|
+28.0 | 138.6 | 91% | 51–86 | ✓ |
|
|
+16.7 | 136.3 | 89% | 48–77 | ✓ |
|
|
+10.7 | 136.8 | 85% | 77–85 | ✓ |
|
|
+13.8 | 141.3 | 87% | 59–103 | ✓ |
|
|
+26.1 | 139.3 | 91% | 79–100 | ✓ |
|
|
+15.7 | 142.6 | 89% | 61–72 | ✓ |
|
|
+23.3 | 143.8 | 90% | 51–99 | ✓ |
|
|
+17.0 | 136.2 | 86% | 61–90 | ✓ |
|
|
+11.3 | 149.8 | 83% | 48–91 | ✓ |
|
|
+16.2 | 147.7 | 88% | 67–88 | ✓ |
|
|
-3.5 | 132.5 | 40% | 69–57 | ✓ |
|
|
+22.7 | 149.5 | 91% | 61–88 | ✓ |
|
|
+20.9 | 154.8 | 90% | 78–91 | ✓ |
|
|
+26.8 | 138.5 | 91% | 71–94 | ✓ |
|
|
+21.1 | 147.8 | 90% | 69–92 | ✓ |
|
|
+27.5 | 148.0 | 91% | 71–107 | ✓ |
|
|
+27.3 | 158.8 | 91% | 81–109 | ✓ |
|
|
-2.3 | 135.3 | 33% | 89–70 | ✓ |
|
|
+23.4 | 146.9 | 91% | 54–107 | ✓ |
|
|
+17.7 | 150.1 | 89% | 56–86 | ✓ |
|
|
+8.3 | 154.1 | 83% | 88–100 | ✓ |
|
|
+11.3 | 133.0 | 84% | 58–63 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.6 | 143.5 | 70% | 79–102 | ✓ |
|
|
+9.1 | 144.5 | 85% | 85–95 | ✓ |
|
|
+26.7 | 145.1 | 91% | 85–99 | ✓ |
|
|
+22.2 | 148.4 | 90% | 63–89 | ✓ |
|
|
+10.9 | 151.8 | 84% | 80–85 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.3 | 144.7 | 51% | 65–70 | ✗ |
|
|
+17.4 | 144.9 | 90% | 65–97 | ✓ |
|
|
-6.6 | 150.2 | 31% | 63–64 | ✗ |
|
|
+20.0 | 141.9 | 90% | 56–83 | ✓ |
|
|
+22.5 | 138.3 | 91% | 59–85 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.