Betting Lines
| Spread | SMC -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | SMC -800 UNI +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SMC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SMC +5 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | SMC -11.0 (-6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.4 (-5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SMC -11.3 (-6.3) | 133.0 (-12.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SMC -9.4 (-4.4) | 131.5 (-10.5) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SMC -10.1 (-5.1) | 130.4 (-9.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SMC -11.4 (-6.4) | 131.8 (-10.8) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2020 | SMC 66 – 64 UNI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SMC | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-6 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 11-9 |
| Home | 17-0 | 12-5 |
| Away | 8-2 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 62.5 |
| Massey | 13.7 (#34) | 6.9 (#85) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.78 (#25) | 1.47 (#72) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.26 (#22) | 1.57 (#97) |
| RPI | 0.670 (#8) | 0.569 (#70) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SMC | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 40.2 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 37.9% | 21.2% |
| FT Rate | 34.2% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 44.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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