Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -24.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | UCLA -5000 UCR +1800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +32 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | UCLA -20.9 (+11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.5 (+11.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -17.6 (+14.4) | 147.4 (+14.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -17.4 (+14.6) | 144.9 (+17.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -20.5 (+11.5) | 147.2 (+14.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -19.6 (+12.4) | 148.6 (+13.4) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 1, 2023 | UCLA 66 – 65 UCR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCLA | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 5-15 |
| Home | 17-1 | 7-7 |
| Away | 4-6 | 3-15 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 79.1 |
| Massey | 11.9 (#44) | -4.8 (#242) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.55 (#31) | -0.17 (#190) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.56 (#31) | -0.19 (#182) |
| RPI | 0.571 (#68) | 0.516 (#147) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCLA | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 40.3% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.60 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.9% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 28.0% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 13.5% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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