Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -19.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | UCLA -2000 UCR +1050 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +1 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | UCLA -16.6 (-15.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.0 (+3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -13.4 (-12.4) | 132.2 (-1.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | UCLA -13.6 (-12.6) | 130.2 (+0.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | UCLA -15.1 (-14.1) | 131.9 (-0.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -14.7 (-13.7) | 131.2 (-0.2) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 23, 2025 | UCLA 97 – 65 UCR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCLA | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 1-4 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Massey | 7.3 (#66) | -3.1 (#233) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#191) | -0.89 (#252) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#167) | -0.95 (#236) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#245) | 0.422 (#286) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCLA | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 36.4% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 43.5% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 35.1% | 11.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.9% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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