Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -19.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | CREI -2800 UTU +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +23 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | CREI -18.3 (+4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (+16.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -18.4 (+4.6) | 144.6 (+16.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | CREI -21.1 (+1.9) | 147.8 (+13.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | CREI -16.5 (+6.5) | 141.5 (+19.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -17.8 (+5.2) | 143.8 (+17.2) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 11-7 |
| Home | 10-6 | 11-3 |
| Away | 4-8 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 77.0 |
| Massey | 10.7 (#54) | -3.4 (#214) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.34 (#85) | -0.49 (#221) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.16 (#72) | -0.73 (#217) |
| RPI | 0.564 (#76) | 0.492 (#183) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 66.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.0% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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