Betting Lines
| Spread | UK -34.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UK +14 | 184 | Won |
| Massey | UK -28.5 (-14.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.1 (+31.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UK -25.4 (-11.4) | 146.4 (+37.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | UK -26.7 (-12.7) | 145.1 (+38.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | UK -23.4 (-9.4) | 146.7 (+37.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UK -25.3 (-11.3) | 146.4 (+37.6) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2022 | UK 60 – 41 BELL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UK | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 14-4 | 10-5 |
| Away | 4-6 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.5 | 78.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 83.3 |
| Massey | 18.9 (#13) | -5.4 (#251) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.84 (#58) | -1.45 (#288) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.18 (#41) | -1.86 (#280) |
| RPI | 0.548 (#98) | 0.455 (#254) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UK | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 49.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 41.2 | 26.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 5.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.74 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 56.5% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 19.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 27.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.3% | 58.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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