Betting Lines
| Spread | UK -25.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UK +19 | 101 | Won |
| Massey | UK -22.0 (-3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.6 (-43.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UK -22.5 (-3.5) | 141.2 (-40.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | UK -20.5 (-1.5) | 141.4 (-40.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | UK -20.3 (-1.3) | 143.9 (-42.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UK -21.4 (-2.4) | 145.5 (-44.5) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 23, 2025 | UK 99 – 85 BELL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UK | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-4 | 8-6 |
| Away | 6-4 | 6-12 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 63.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 12.3 (#26) | -3.3 (#239) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.72 (#121) | -1.17 (#280) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.52 (#100) | -1.99 (#285) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#133) | 0.445 (#250) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UK | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 38.3% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 42.2 | 27.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.66 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 22.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.2% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 31.9% |
Game Analysis
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