Betting Lines
| Spread | ARMY -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | ARMY -900 BING +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARMY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARMY +10 | 180 | Won |
| Massey | ARMY -12.0 (-2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.7 (+32.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARMY -9.1 (+0.9) | 144.5 (+35.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARMY -10.5 (-0.5) | 143.2 (+36.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARMY -10.0 (+0.0) | 143.9 (+36.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARMY -10.8 (-0.8) | 141.1 (+38.9) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2024 | BING 78 – 68 ARMY |
| Nov 25, 2023 | BING 75 – 68 ARMY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARMY | BING |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 4-12 |
| Home | 6-10 | 7-8 |
| Away | 5-10 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.0 | 76.7 |
| Massey | -11.4 (#327) | -19.2 (#360) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.27 (#273) | -3.81 (#357) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.33 (#304) | -5.21 (#356) |
| RPI | 0.442 (#276) | 0.305 (#365) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARMY | BING |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 27.9% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 40.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 56.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 13.5% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.7% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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