Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -26.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | WIS -4000 CMU +1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +27 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -25.3 (+1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.0 (-8.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -22.7 (+4.3) | 150.2 (-1.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | WIS -22.7 (+4.3) | 149.5 (-0.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | WIS -21.3 (+5.7) | 149.7 (-0.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -22.9 (+4.1) | 149.6 (-0.6) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 6-12 |
| Home | 15-2 | 8-5 |
| Away | 6-5 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.0 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 77.7 |
| Massey | 9.2 (#65) | -11.9 (#330) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.16 (#93) | -2.15 (#328) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.94 (#79) | -2.79 (#322) |
| RPI | 0.568 (#72) | 0.391 (#335) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 29.5% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 64.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 29.1% |
Game Analysis
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