Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -34.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 168.5 Over |
| Money | BYU -6500 EWU +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +28 | 190 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -30.6 (-2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.1 (+22.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -27.3 (+0.7) | 158.8 (+31.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -24.7 (+3.3) | 159.5 (+30.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -28.3 (-0.3) | 158.2 (+31.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -28.9 (-0.9) | 158.1 (+31.9) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 11-7 |
| Home | 14-3 | 8-4 |
| Away | 3-6 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.5 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 79.2 |
| Massey | 21.0 (#11) | -5.4 (#252) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.85 (#11) | -2.55 (#338) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.49 (#11) | -3.45 (#334) |
| RPI | 0.695 (#3) | 0.402 (#322) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.9% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 39.1 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.0% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 59.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.5% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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