Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -29.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +14 | 194 | Won |
| Massey | LSU -27.7 (-13.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.8 (+30.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -25.4 (-11.4) | 156.0 (+38.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -23.4 (-9.4) | 153.4 (+40.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -26.2 (-12.2) | 153.5 (+40.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -27.5 (-13.5) | 154.1 (+39.9) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | PV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 19-18 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 9-9 |
| Home | 9-8 | 10-3 |
| Away | 3-7 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 78.9 |
| Massey | 14.2 (#33) | -9.2 (#306) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.00 (#20) | -2.03 (#321) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.88 (#26) | -2.83 (#324) |
| RPI | 0.611 (#31) | 0.432 (#294) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | PV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.8% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 29.1% |
| REB / G | 40.1 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.6% | 44.5% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 33.1% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 56.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 62.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 38.7% |
Game Analysis
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