Betting Lines
| Spread | SYR -22.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | SYR -5000 STO +1800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SYR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SYR +29 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | SYR -21.6 (+7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.8 (-12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SYR -16.7 (+12.3) | 136.3 (-11.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SYR -17.5 (+11.5) | 135.3 (-10.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SYR -19.1 (+9.9) | 136.1 (-11.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SYR -19.3 (+9.7) | 135.3 (-10.3) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SYR | STO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 8-10 |
| Home | 12-6 | 8-5 |
| Away | 2-7 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 64.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 69.5 |
| Massey | 6.5 (#92) | -10.9 (#321) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.15 (#94) | -3.82 (#358) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.04 (#75) | -5.40 (#358) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#115) | 0.337 (#360) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SYR | STO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.8% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 21.9% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 13.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.4% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 12.1% |
| DRB% | 65.8% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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