Funky Claude was running in and out / pulling kids out the ground "Smoke On the Water" - Deep Purple
Lloyd Noble Center · December 23, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread OU -31.5 Home covered
O/U 148.5 Over
Money OU -6500 / STET +2000
Model Predictions
Spread Total OU win
Actual OU +53 161 Won
Massey OU -26.0 (+27.0)
Massey Totals 150.6 (+10.4)
Bradley-Terry 99%
Weighted B-T 100%
Efficiency Plus ML OU -23.4 (+29.6) 146.9 (+14.1) 91%
Baseline Tuned ML OU -22.0 (+31.0) 144.6 (+16.4) 91%
Baseline ML OU -24.0 (+29.0) 145.1 (+15.9) 91%
Baseline Plus ML OU -23.4 (+29.6) 145.1 (+15.9) 91%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 16, 2024 OU 8564 STET

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings OU STET
Overall 21-16 12-21
Conference 7-11 7-11
Home 11-5 9-5
Away 4-7 2-14
Neutral 6-4 1-2
Last 5 4-1 0-5
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 82.9 71.9
Avg Pts Against 77.4 79.9
Massey 8.9 (#71) -12.9 (#338)
Bradley-Terry 2.51 (#33) -2.05 (#324)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.44 (#33) -2.58 (#316)
RPI 0.550 (#94) 0.391 (#336)
Shooting & Four Factors OU STET
FG% 46.2% 40.4%
3PT% 33.4% 31.4%
REB / G 39.6 30.4
OREB / G 12.9 8.7
AST / TO 1.68 0.86
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.0% 47.3%
TOV% 13.5% 19.4%
ORB% 35.1% 24.2%
FT Rate 25.0% 19.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.5% 56.5%
Opp TOV% 16.5% 17.5%
DRB% 70.2% 67.2%
Opp FT Rate 21.9% 19.7%

Game Analysis

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