Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUN -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 164.5 Over |
| Money | CSUN -470 SAC +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUN +12 | 188 | Won |
| Massey | CSUN -5.0 (+7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.8 (+27.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUN -8.3 (+3.7) | 154.1 (+33.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUN -5.1 (+6.9) | 150.7 (+37.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUN -4.7 (+7.3) | 151.5 (+36.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUN -4.2 (+7.8) | 152.7 (+35.3) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 17, 2024 | CSUN 79 – 69 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 12-3 | 10-4 |
| Away | 7-8 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.6 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.3 | 83.6 |
| Massey | -4.7 (#240) | -5.5 (#254) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.12 (#161) | -1.26 (#272) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#178) | -1.79 (#277) |
| RPI | 0.499 (#170) | 0.468 (#233) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 37.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 28.3% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 42.3% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 64.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
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