Betting Lines
| Spread | SJU -26.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | SJU -6500 HARV +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJU +26 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | SJU -23.5 (+2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.0 (-3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SJU -22.5 (+3.5) | 138.3 (+5.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SJU -19.3 (+6.7) | 140.4 (+3.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SJU -21.7 (+4.3) | 140.5 (+3.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SJU -19.8 (+6.2) | 139.4 (+4.6) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2024 | SJU 77 – 64 HARV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJU | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-7 | 17-12 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 10-4 |
| Home | 18-2 | 8-4 |
| Away | 9-1 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 67.3 |
| Massey | 17.4 (#21) | -1.9 (#192) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.85 (#57) | -0.94 (#252) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.97 (#46) | -1.44 (#259) |
| RPI | 0.605 (#37) | 0.456 (#253) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJU | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 37.4% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 35.1% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 64.4% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.