Betting Lines
| Spread | SJU -25.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | SJU -8000 HARV +1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJU +13 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | SJU -27.0 (-14.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.6 (-9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SJU -22.9 (-9.9) | 145.0 (-4.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SJU -21.6 (-8.6) | 145.0 (-4.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SJU -23.2 (-10.2) | 144.1 (-3.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SJU -23.6 (-10.6) | 144.6 (-3.6) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 23, 2025 | SJU 85 – 59 HARV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJU | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-5 | 12-15 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 7-7 |
| Home | 19-0 | 7-5 |
| Away | 8-2 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.5 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 72.3 |
| Massey | 13.6 (#27) | -7.7 (#305) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.65 (#63) | -1.24 (#283) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.18 (#46) | -1.57 (#270) |
| RPI | 0.588 (#57) | 0.406 (#311) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJU | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 39.9 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 37.7% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 16.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.7% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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