Betting Lines
| Spread | WASH -18.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Under |
| Money | WASH -1800 USD +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WASH +30 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | WASH -19.1 (+10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.0 (-10.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WASH -17.7 (+12.3) | 150.1 (-8.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WASH -18.2 (+11.8) | 147.9 (-5.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WASH -18.1 (+11.9) | 149.2 (-7.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WASH -18.4 (+11.6) | 149.0 (-7.0) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | USD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 5-13 |
| Home | 10-6 | 9-8 |
| Away | 4-9 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 78.8 |
| Massey | 10.6 (#56) | -4.3 (#233) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.76 (#59) | -0.43 (#212) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.83 (#52) | -0.84 (#225) |
| RPI | 0.565 (#74) | 0.460 (#246) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | USD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 41.7 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 14.3 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 38.8% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 28.9% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 61.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 29.2% |
Game Analysis
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