Betting Lines
| Spread | WVU -42.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WVU +35 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | WVU -37.3 (-2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.9 (-1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WVU -28.0 (+7.0) | 138.6 (-1.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WVU -26.3 (+8.7) | 136.3 (+0.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WVU -36.0 (-1.0) | 138.8 (-1.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WVU -38.5 (-3.5) | 138.7 (-1.7) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 3-30 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 2-16 |
| Home | 15-3 | 2-9 |
| Away | 3-6 | 1-18 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | W3 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 63.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 83.7 |
| Massey | 7.6 (#81) | -25.5 (#365) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.12 (#163) | -4.32 (#364) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#151) | -6.74 (#364) |
| RPI | 0.466 (#239) | 0.356 (#354) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 26.3% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 43.4% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 25.1% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 29.4% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 57.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 62.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 36.7% |
Game Analysis
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