Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSB -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | UCSB -485 PORT +370 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSB +18 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | UCSB -7.8 (+10.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.5 (-16.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSB -8.5 (+9.5) | 146.2 (-6.2) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSB -6.3 (+11.7) | 148.7 (-8.7) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCSB -6.7 (+11.3) | 149.9 (-9.9) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSB -7.6 (+10.4) | 148.5 (-8.5) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 9, 2024 | UCSB 94 – 53 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSB | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-4 | 12-6 |
| Away | 5-8 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.7 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 78.1 |
| Massey | -0.1 (#175) | -3.7 (#219) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.33 (#148) | 0.14 (#161) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.45 (#147) | 0.22 (#158) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#170) | 0.495 (#176) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSB | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 49.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 54.5% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 33.7% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.7% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.1% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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