Betting Lines
| Spread | SC -31.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SC +25 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | SC -30.1 (-5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.8 (+19.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SC -21.9 (+3.1) | 146.1 (+18.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SC -23.4 (+1.6) | 141.8 (+23.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SC -29.9 (-4.9) | 142.5 (+22.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SC -31.9 (-6.9) | 143.8 (+21.2) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 9, 2024 | SC 86 – 64 SCST |
| Nov 9, 2022 | SC 80 – 77 SCST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 7-7 |
| Home | 11-8 | 6-5 |
| Away | 2-8 | 3-16 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 80.6 |
| Massey | 6.3 (#97) | -19.7 (#361) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.08 (#171) | -3.84 (#359) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.33 (#153) | -5.25 (#357) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#190) | 0.323 (#362) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 38.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 43.5% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 28.0% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 56.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 60.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 34.4% |
Game Analysis
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