Betting Lines
| Spread | MONM -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | MONM -535 LEH +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONM +14 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | MONM -8.3 (+5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.4 (-9.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONM -6.4 (+7.6) | 141.2 (-3.2) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONM -6.3 (+7.7) | 143.2 (-5.2) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONM -6.9 (+7.1) | 144.6 (-6.6) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONM -6.8 (+7.2) | 142.2 (-4.2) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 5, 2024 | LEH 90 – 63 MONM |
| Nov 22, 2023 | MONM 88 – 79 LEH |
| Nov 28, 2022 | LEH 80 – 76 MONM |
| Nov 17, 2021 | MONM 85 – 75 LEH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONM | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 11-7 |
| Home | 10-4 | 13-4 |
| Away | 6-9 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -4.7 (#242) | -8.8 (#304) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.22 (#270) | -2.36 (#336) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.16 (#297) | -3.62 (#336) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#263) | 0.403 (#320) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONM | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 29.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.2% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 62.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 28.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.