Betting Lines
| Spread | LEH -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | LEH -333 MONM +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEH +4 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | LEH -17.1 (-13.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.9 (+15.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEH -13.7 (-9.7) | 142.9 (+13.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | LEH -7.6 (-3.6) | 145.3 (+10.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | LEH -11.9 (-7.9) | 142.8 (+13.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LEH -13.8 (-9.8) | 142.9 (+13.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2025 | MONM 76 – 62 LEH |
| Dec 5, 2024 | LEH 90 – 63 MONM |
| Nov 22, 2023 | MONM 88 – 79 LEH |
| Nov 17, 2021 | MONM 85 – 75 LEH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEH | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-14 | 7-26 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 5-13 |
| Home | 9-6 | 3-10 |
| Away | 7-8 | 3-15 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 61.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 74.7 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#244) | -14.1 (#353) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#199) | -3.00 (#344) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.77 (#217) | -4.18 (#335) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#156) | 0.417 (#288) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEH | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 38.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 26.1% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 6.8 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 42.4% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 27.7% |
| ORB% | 18.0% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 60.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 79.2% | 65.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
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