Betting Lines
| Spread | TCU -29.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +24 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | TCU -27.6 (-3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.9 (-2.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TCU -25.7 (-1.7) | 140.2 (-4.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TCU -23.0 (+1.0) | 137.3 (-1.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TCU -26.1 (-2.1) | 136.4 (-0.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TCU -26.8 (-2.8) | 140.7 (-4.7) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 5, 2024 | TCU 105 – 59 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 11-7 |
| Home | 14-5 | 8-4 |
| Away | 5-5 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.4 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 75.1 |
| Massey | 9.8 (#60) | -13.6 (#340) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.39 (#79) | -1.43 (#287) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.58 (#62) | -2.06 (#291) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#155) | 0.453 (#261) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 0.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 45.6% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 23.0% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.4% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 62.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 31.7% |
Game Analysis
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