Betting Lines
| Spread | UTAH -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
| Money | UTAH -700 EWU +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTAH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTAH +24 | 178 | Won |
| Massey | UTAH -9.2 (+14.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 169.9 (+8.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTAH -12.6 (+11.4) | 156.2 (+21.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTAH -8.4 (+15.6) | 155.5 (+22.5) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTAH -8.0 (+16.0) | 156.0 (+22.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTAH -9.8 (+14.2) | 154.4 (+23.6) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2024 | UTAH 88 – 80 EWU |
| Nov 7, 2023 | UTAH 101 – 66 EWU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTAH | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 11-7 |
| Home | 8-9 | 8-4 |
| Away | 1-10 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.3 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 79.2 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#157) | -4.1 (#226) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#116) | -2.48 (#338) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.72 (#134) | -3.39 (#334) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#105) | 0.401 (#323) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTAH | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 29.6% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 57.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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