Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -28.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 166.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +41 | 195 | Won |
| Massey | TA&M -19.7 (+21.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.5 (+30.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -22.3 (+18.7) | 154.4 (+40.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -17.9 (+23.1) | 153.3 (+41.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -19.8 (+21.2) | 155.0 (+40.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -20.6 (+20.4) | 154.7 (+40.3) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 9, 2024 | TA&M 87 – 55 ETAM |
| Nov 7, 2023 | TA&M 78 – 46 ETAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 6-16 |
| Home | 14-4 | 6-8 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 86.1 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.9 | 76.0 |
| Massey | 10.1 (#57) | -5.4 (#256) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.41 (#78) | -0.08 (#180) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.80 (#86) | -0.64 (#211) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#140) | 0.526 (#130) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.75 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.0% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 36.1% | 23.0% |
| FT Rate | 33.3% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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