Betting Lines
| Spread | MINN -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | MINN -1200 CAM +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MINN +28 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | MINN -13.2 (+14.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.7 (-18.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MINN -12.8 (+15.2) | 142.9 (-14.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MINN -11.6 (+16.4) | 141.0 (-13.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MINN -11.9 (+16.1) | 142.8 (-14.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MINN -12.5 (+15.5) | 142.1 (-14.1) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 8-10 |
| Home | 13-4 | 10-4 |
| Away | 2-9 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 78.8 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#124) | -5.6 (#261) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.21 (#153) | -0.19 (#189) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.59 (#140) | -0.25 (#181) |
| RPI | 0.486 (#199) | 0.508 (#157) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 25.5% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 34.0% | 32.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 28.4% |
Game Analysis
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