Betting Lines
| Spread | DUKE -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | DUKE -470 TTU +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +1 | 163 | Lost |
| Massey | DUKE -12.0 (-13.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.4 (+13.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUKE -11.2 (-12.2) | 150.7 (+12.3) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUKE -13.4 (-14.4) | 144.0 (+19.0) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DUKE -12.8 (-13.8) | 147.7 (+15.3) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUKE -12.2 (-13.2) | 145.9 (+17.1) | 82% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 25, 2022 | DUKE 78 – 73 TTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUKE | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 35-3 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 12-6 |
| Home | 15-0 | 14-2 |
| Away | 10-1 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 10-2 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.6 | 80.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.6 | 73.1 |
| Massey | 26.7 (#3) | 14.7 (#30) |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.58 (#2) | 2.61 (#31) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 8.47 (#3) | 3.96 (#24) |
| RPI | 0.681 (#7) | 0.656 (#12) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUKE | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.2% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 37.6% |
| REB / G | 43.4 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 13.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.68 | 1.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.4% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 37.9% | 35.8% |
| FT Rate | 28.8% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.5% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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