Betting Lines
| Spread | STMN -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | STMN -1450 UCR +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STMN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STMN +14 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | STMN -12.9 (+1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.6 (+21.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STMN -9.9 (+4.1) | 145.1 (+24.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STMN -12.1 (+1.9) | 144.4 (+25.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STMN -12.5 (+1.5) | 145.3 (+24.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STMN -12.3 (+1.7) | 145.6 (+24.4) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 29, 2024 | UCR 81 – 79 STMN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STMN | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 5-15 |
| Home | 14-1 | 7-7 |
| Away | 8-7 | 3-15 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 79.1 |
| Massey | 3.8 (#116) | -4.9 (#244) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.74 (#120) | -0.13 (#185) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#130) | -0.14 (#172) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#135) | 0.514 (#150) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STMN | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 29.6 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 6.1 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.7% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 19.1% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 14.0% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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