Betting Lines
| Spread | RUTG -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | RUTG -850 PENN +575 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RUTG +1 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | RUTG -8.1 (-7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.1 (-11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RUTG -8.1 (-7.1) | 145.2 (-6.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RUTG -4.8 (-3.8) | 143.8 (-4.8) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RUTG -5.0 (-4.0) | 143.4 (-4.4) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RUTG -4.8 (-3.8) | 144.6 (-5.6) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-20 | 18-12 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 9-5 |
| Home | 10-7 | 12-2 |
| Away | 2-9 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 74.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#189) | -5.6 (#260) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#208) | -0.09 (#181) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.84 (#223) | -0.46 (#199) |
| RPI | 0.495 (#176) | 0.496 (#175) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 40.6% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.0% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 65.8% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.