Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -34.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | SLU -100000 UNH +5000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +14 | 172 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -34.4 (-20.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.0 (+23.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -24.6 (-10.6) | 148.2 (+23.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -24.9 (-10.9) | 141.0 (+31.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -33.5 (-19.5) | 143.1 (+28.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -33.3 (-19.3) | 145.5 (+26.5) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-6 | 9-21 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 5-11 |
| Home | 19-0 | 8-5 |
| Away | 7-3 | 1-16 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 86.4 | 66.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 76.4 |
| Massey | 18.9 (#14) | -11.3 (#324) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.28 (#43) | -2.43 (#337) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.55 (#37) | -4.02 (#344) |
| RPI | 0.600 (#44) | 0.392 (#334) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.6% | 38.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 28.2% |
| REB / G | 43.9 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.6% | 43.3% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 37.5% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 28.7% | 15.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.0% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.1% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
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