Betting Lines
| Spread | RAD -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | RAD -750 VMI +525 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RAD +7 | 187 | Won |
| Massey | RAD -11.0 (-4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.2 (+27.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RAD -9.4 (-2.4) | 154.0 (+33.0) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RAD -8.8 (-1.8) | 150.0 (+37.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RAD -9.7 (-2.7) | 152.2 (+34.8) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RAD -9.0 (-2.0) | 152.2 (+34.8) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2023 | RAD 73 – 56 VMI |
| Dec 10, 2022 | VMI 77 – 74 RAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RAD | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 6-26 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 1-17 |
| Home | 12-5 | 5-9 |
| Away | 4-8 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L17 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.8 | 83.2 |
| Massey | -7.4 (#283) | -14.1 (#346) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.81 (#342) | -2.18 (#331) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.99 (#343) | -2.96 (#329) |
| RPI | 0.385 (#341) | 0.431 (#293) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RAD | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 37.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 28.8% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 45.6% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 65.5% | 58.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.9% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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