Betting Lines
| Spread | RAD -16.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | RAD -1600 VMI +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RAD +17 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | RAD -13.5 (+3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.3 (-12.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RAD -12.8 (+4.2) | 138.8 (-9.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RAD -12.1 (+4.9) | 139.9 (-10.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RAD -12.4 (+4.6) | 140.4 (-11.4) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RAD -12.2 (+4.8) | 138.5 (-9.5) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2025 | RAD 97 – 90 VMI |
| Dec 10, 2022 | VMI 77 – 74 RAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RAD | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 4-28 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 1-17 |
| Home | 8-5 | 4-10 |
| Away | 4-12 | 0-15 |
| Neutral | 4-0 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L13 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 84.9 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#173) | -8.8 (#315) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.08 (#171) | -4.21 (#362) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.22 (#166) | -5.90 (#361) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#158) | 0.348 (#356) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RAD | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 15.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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