Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | ARIZ -1350 SDSU +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +23 | 113 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -15.0 (+8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.6 (-46.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -13.3 (+9.7) | 158.0 (-45.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -16.3 (+6.7) | 156.6 (-43.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -15.4 (+7.6) | 155.7 (-42.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -18.0 (+5.0) | 155.5 (-42.5) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 23, 2022 | ARIZ 87 – 70 SDSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | SDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 36-3 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 14-6 |
| Home | 16-1 | 14-2 |
| Away | 9-1 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 11-1 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 86.2 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 71.3 |
| Massey | 23.8 (#5) | 8.8 (#72) |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.81 (#1) | 1.08 (#98) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 8.59 (#2) | 2.35 (#67) |
| RPI | 0.688 (#4) | 0.548 (#97) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | SDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.7% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 41.1% |
| REB / G | 42.8 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.51 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.9% | 55.3% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 40.9% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 30.1% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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