Betting Lines
| Spread | RICE -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | PEPP +102 RICE -122 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PEPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PEPP +22 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | PEPP -1.7 (+20.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.6 (+8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PEPP -1.8 (+20.2) | 137.6 (+8.4) | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PEPP -0.9 (+21.1) | 138.1 (+7.9) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PEPP -1.7 (+20.3) | 135.3 (+10.7) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PEPP -1.6 (+20.4) | 135.3 (+10.7) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2022 | PEPP 106 – 67 RICE |
| Nov 10, 2021 | RICE 82 – 63 PEPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PEPP | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 7-11 |
| Home | 7-10 | 8-8 |
| Away | 2-11 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.7 | 76.8 |
| Massey | -6.7 (#276) | -4.3 (#230) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.66 (#302) | -0.30 (#206) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.83 (#276) | -0.58 (#209) |
| RPI | 0.387 (#335) | 0.471 (#229) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PEPP | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 28.4% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
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