Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | AAMU +120 UTC -142 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTC +7 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | AAMU -6.9 (-13.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.6 (+1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AAMU -3.1 (-10.1) | 138.3 (+0.7) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AAMU -5.8 (-12.8) | 133.8 (+5.2) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | AAMU -6.1 (-13.1) | 134.3 (+4.7) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AAMU -5.6 (-12.6) | 135.6 (+3.4) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 15, 2024 | UTC 85 – 63 AAMU |
| Dec 17, 2023 | UTC 88 – 72 AAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AAMU | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-5 | 7-8 |
| Away | 4-8 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 78.1 |
| Massey | -6.7 (#274) | -9.4 (#307) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.08 (#162) | -1.95 (#318) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.03 (#166) | -2.49 (#310) |
| RPI | 0.499 (#168) | 0.375 (#349) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AAMU | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 28.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.9% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 22.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 32.3% |
Game Analysis
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