Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | CLEM -185 CIN +154 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +3 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | CLEM -7.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.3 (-0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -10.9 (-7.9) | 137.8 (-4.8) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -8.2 (-5.2) | 133.6 (-0.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -7.9 (-4.9) | 135.0 (-2.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -8.6 (-5.6) | 139.9 (-6.9) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLEM | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 9-9 |
| Home | 13-3 | 15-3 |
| Away | 6-5 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 13.9 (#33) | 6.4 (#93) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.01 (#52) | 0.27 (#150) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.66 (#58) | 0.50 (#143) |
| RPI | 0.594 (#48) | 0.497 (#174) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLEM | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 40.3 | 40.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.64 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 13.3% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 35.1% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 29.8% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 44.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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