Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -24.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Over |
| Money | UCLA -10000 CP +3000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +21 | 195 | Won |
| Massey | UCLA -19.0 (+2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.4 (+35.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -19.6 (+1.4) | 152.1 (+42.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -16.0 (+5.0) | 153.9 (+41.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -17.0 (+4.0) | 153.1 (+41.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -18.5 (+2.5) | 152.9 (+42.1) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCLA | CP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 10-10 |
| Home | 17-1 | 8-6 |
| Away | 4-6 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 81.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 85.3 |
| Massey | 11.3 (#48) | -3.4 (#219) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.70 (#28) | -0.69 (#231) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.83 (#27) | -1.15 (#241) |
| RPI | 0.584 (#55) | 0.468 (#234) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCLA | CP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 40.0% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.54 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 21.9% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 28.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
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