Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | UCI -118 BEL -102 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +26 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | BEL -1.7 (-24.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.0 (-3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -0.9 (-26.9) | 140.4 (+1.6) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -0.2 (-25.8) | 137.3 (+4.7) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -0.8 (-25.2) | 138.3 (+3.7) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -0.9 (-26.9) | 141.2 (+0.8) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2024 | UCI 92 – 84 BEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCI | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 26-6 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 16-4 |
| Home | 12-5 | 13-2 |
| Away | 7-5 | 11-3 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 83.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 74.1 |
| Massey | 2.9 (#129) | 8.9 (#71) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#150) | 2.16 (#48) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.72 (#134) | 2.75 (#61) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#132) | 0.558 (#91) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCI | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 52.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 40.4% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 61.5% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 29.4% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.7% | 45.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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